Counterfactual Analysis

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Collins, John, Ned Hall, and L. A. Paul. 2004. Causation and Counterfactuals. Cambridge: MIT Press.
Cooper, Rachel. 2005. “Thought Experiments.” Metaphilosophy 16: 328–47.
Evans, Richard J. 2014. Altered Pasts: Counterfactuals in History. The Menahem Stern Jerusalem Lectures. Lebanon, NH: Brandeis University Press/University Press of New England.
Fearon, James D. 1996. “Causes and Counterfactuals in Social Science: Exploring an Analogy Between Cellular Automata and Historical Processes.” In Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics, edited by Philip E. Tetlock and Aaron Belkin, 39–67. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Fearon, James D. 1991. “Counterfactuals and Hypothesis Testing in Political Science.” World Politics 43: 169–95.
Gerring, John. 2007. Case Study Research: Principles and Practices. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Lebow, Richard Ned. 2000. “Contingency, Catalysts, and International System Change.” Political Science Quarterly 115: 591–616.
Lebow, Richard Ned. 2010. Forbidden Fruit: Counterfactuals and International Relations. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Levy, Jack S. 2008. “Counterfactuals and Case Studies.” In The Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology, edited by Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier, Henry E. Brady, and David Collier, 627–44. New York: Oxford University Press.
Tetlock, Philip E., and Aaron Belkin. 1996. Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Tetlock, Philip, and Richard Ned Lebow. 2001. “Poking Counterfactual Holes in Covering Laws: Cognitive Styles and Historical Reasoning.” American Political Science Review 95: 829–43.
Tetlock, Philip E., Richard N. Lebow, and Geoffrey Parker. 2006. Unmaking the West: What-If Scenarios That Rewrite World History. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.